The Rice Market System in Tikapur & Rajapur areas, Nepal

A Pre Crisis Market Analysis (PCMA) is based on comparing a baseline level (or “reference period”) of market functioning for particular commodity or service to the level of market functioning during an emergency, in order to anticipate how markets will be impacted in future emergencies. During this exercise, the baseline or “normal” time was established as May 2016 (i.e. dry season). The flood-affected market scenario was defined as the worstcase flood scenario in the two districts of Kailali and Bardiya, which was agreed to be August 2014. The PCMA team compared how market systems were functioning during the 2014 flooding with how they functioned at the time of this PCMA exercise (May 2016) to model how markets will respond during future flooding of a similar impact. The resulting analysis is intended to provide evidence and information to help formulate programming options previous to a future emergency. The recommendations resulting of this exercise are based on market functioning, and would need to be further informed by operational feasibility and coordinated needs assessments following the onset of an emergency.